Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -190 BALL +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -5.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -4.6 (+3.4) | 152.1 (+9.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.0 (+4.0) | 151.6 (+10.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -5.3 (+2.7) | 153.6 (+8.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.8 (+3.2) | 152.9 (+9.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 8-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#111) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#163) | -0.33 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#157) | -0.29 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#146) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.