Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -500 RICE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -13.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.0 (-1.0) | 137.2 (+22.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -10.5 (+1.5) | 140.3 (+19.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -14.2 (-2.2) | 140.3 (+19.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -13.5 (-1.5) | 138.7 (+21.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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