Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -225 MD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +14 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -5.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-39.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -6.0 (-20.0) | 146.3 (-34.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.5 (-18.5) | 141.9 (-29.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -5.5 (-19.5) | 146.3 (-34.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.7 (-19.7) | 146.6 (-34.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MD 67 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 13, 2025 | MD 77 – 71 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MINN 65 – 62 MD |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MD 70 – 54 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2023 | MD 88 – 70 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#31) | 9.9 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#11) | 2.06 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#11) | 2.83 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#17) | 0.597 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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