Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -120 NWST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.0 (-9.0) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.7 (-7.7) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.3 (-8.3) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -4.1 (-9.1) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#328) | -12.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#290) | -4.35 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#307) | -6.61 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#247) | 0.385 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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