Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Southern Conference · Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -7.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money WOF -300 / WCU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +13 169 Won
Massey WOF -10.0 (+3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 153.3 (+15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -10.1 (+2.9) 148.5 (+20.5) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WOF -8.8 (+4.2) 150.6 (+18.4) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WOF -10.6 (+2.4) 148.6 (+20.4) 82% ✓
Baseline ML WOF -10.7 (+2.3) 149.4 (+19.6) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 77 – 66 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 79 – 74 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 90 – 67 WCU
Jan 9, 2025 WOF 77 – 69 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 88 – 86 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF WCU
Overall 15-9 11-16
Conference 12-5 4-13
Home 9-3 6-5
Away 6-4 4-9
Neutral 0-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.0 74.1
Avg Pts Against 70.0 79.5
Massey 5.1 (#96) -2.0 (#200)
Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#74) -0.35 (#201)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.81 (#80) -0.14 (#177)
RPI 0.594 (#43) 0.470 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF WCU
FG% 44.7% 44.7%
3PT% 37.1% 32.1%
REB / G 35.7 35.1
OREB / G 10.7 8.5
AST / TO 1.04 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 51.6%
TOV% 21.3% 20.7%
ORB% 31.1% 24.7%
FT Rate 19.0% 30.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 17.6%
DRB% 69.1% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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