Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OU +110 KU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | OU -2.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -3.3 (+3.7) | 140.5 (+2.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.0 (+6.0) | 140.2 (+2.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -3.8 (+3.2) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -3.4 (+3.6) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | KU 67 – 57 OU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KU 78 – 66 OU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KU 78 – 55 OU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KU 79 – 75 OU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | KU 71 – 69 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#29) | 13.6 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#33) | 3.31 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#33) | 4.20 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#60) | 0.637 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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