Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -110 UALB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -0.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.8 (+5.2) | 136.1 (-1.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -1.8 (+5.2) | 132.3 (+2.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.9 (+5.1) | 136.8 (-1.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.5 (+5.5) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 7-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#210) | -0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#207) | -1.28 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#203) | -1.54 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#184) | 0.422 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 80.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.