Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -700 UTM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +32 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -18.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -15.2 (+16.8) | 137.2 (-17.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -13.8 (+18.2) | 132.7 (-12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -16.1 (+15.9) | 137.4 (-17.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -17.7 (+14.3) | 138.1 (-18.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#205) | -17.7 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#149) | -2.50 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#146) | -3.75 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#144) | 0.373 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 62.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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