Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +163 NEV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -3.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.2 (+9.2) | 150.7 (-15.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -2.0 (+9.0) | 146.7 (-11.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -1.5 (+8.5) | 150.5 (-15.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -2.4 (+9.4) | 150.1 (-15.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#217) | 3.4 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#157) | 0.62 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#174) | 0.74 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#274) | 0.533 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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