Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UL -500 ARST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UL -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -11.1 (-8.1) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -9.0 (-6.0) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -10.5 (-7.5) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -10.8 (-7.8) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARST 81 – 58 UL |
| Feb 20, 2026 | ARST 79 – 62 UL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARST 83 – 64 UL |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ARST 83 – 63 UL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ARST 89 – 62 UL |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.