Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +110 WEB +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -6.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -4.0 (+9.0) | 157.2 (-8.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.4 (+7.4) | 152.2 (-3.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -4.0 (+9.0) | 158.3 (-9.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -4.6 (+9.6) | 157.5 (-8.5) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | SUU 80 – 70 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | WEB 92 – 84 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | WEB 91 – 67 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Home | 14-0 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#208) | 7.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#168) | -0.06 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#196) | 0.11 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#182) | 0.527 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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