Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -125 SUU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -9.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -7.6 (+16.4) | 158.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -5.2 (+18.8) | 153.7 (+4.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.1 (+16.9) | 156.4 (+1.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -8.2 (+15.8) | 159.1 (-1.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | SUU 80 – 70 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | WEB 92 – 84 SUU |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SUU 77 – 72 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-6 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 11-0 | 14-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#93) | -1.1 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#209) | 0.60 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#210) | 0.45 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#187) | 0.503 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 80.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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