You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · March 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -5.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual SUU +10 150 Lost
Massey WEB -3.1 (-13.1) — —
Massey Totals — 154.2 (-4.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -3.0 (-13.0) 152.3 (-2.3) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -2.2 (-12.2) 152.1 (-2.1) 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WEB -2.5 (-12.5) 153.8 (-3.8) 65% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -2.5 (-12.5) 153.3 (-3.3) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2022 WEB 92 – 84 SUU
Jan 23, 2021 SUU 77 – 72 WEB
Jan 22, 2021 WEB 91 – 67 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB SUU
Overall 21-12 23-12
Conference 13-7 14-6
Home 9-6 13-3
Away 8-5 8-8
Neutral 4-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 75.9
Avg Pts Against 71.7 72.8
Massey -0.3 (#169) -0.6 (#178)
Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#162) 0.12 (#164)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#151) 0.07 (#172)
RPI 0.508 (#164) 0.526 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB SUU
FG% 46.8% 45.6%
3PT% 34.8% 34.3%
REB / G 31.7 36.3
OREB / G 6.4 9.8
AST / TO 0.95 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 52.4%
TOV% 16.2% 17.0%
ORB% 19.9% 27.7%
FT Rate 28.6% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 17.6%
DRB% 74.8% 76.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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