Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -145 WEB +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -2.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.6 (-9.6) | 153.3 (+22.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -1.1 (-9.1) | 153.2 (+22.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.1 (-9.1) | 155.5 (+20.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -1.5 (-9.5) | 155.3 (+20.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | SUU 80 – 70 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SUU 77 – 72 WEB |
| Jan 22, 2021 | WEB 91 – 67 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#141) | 0.53 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#146) | 0.72 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#166) | 0.503 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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