Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE +110 PITT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -0.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -1.3 (+2.3) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -1.1 (+2.1) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -0.6 (+1.6) | 139.3 (+11.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -1.0 (+2.0) | 137.5 (+13.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | PITT 80 – 76 WAKE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WAKE 76 – 74 PITT |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PITT 81 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WAKE 91 – 58 PITT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PITT 77 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-10 |
| Home | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#93) | 9.3 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#246) | 2.11 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#214) | 2.28 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#239) | 0.564 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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