Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | FAU +100 CLT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -2.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.4 (-6.4) | 131.1 (+13.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.1 (-5.1) | 124.5 (+20.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.4 (-5.4) | 129.5 (+15.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -3.5 (-6.5) | 132.0 (+13.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
Game Analysis
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