Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP +110 LT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.0 (+7.0) | 139.6 (+16.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.7 (+7.3) | 137.3 (+18.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.6 (+7.4) | 141.1 (+14.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.1 (+7.9) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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