Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | FAU +100 CLT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -2.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.4 (+10.6) | 132.4 (-13.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.2 (+10.8) | 125.8 (-6.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.0 (+11.0) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.6 (+10.4) | 133.2 (-14.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
Game Analysis
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