Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +400 UCSB -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +47 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -5.7 (-41.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -4.1 (-42.9) | 144.2 (+18.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -4.3 (-42.7) | 141.9 (+21.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -4.7 (-42.3) | 147.0 (+16.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -5.1 (-41.9) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 22-5 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-0 |
| Away | 4-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#254) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#177) | 0.60 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#205) | 0.74 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#229) | 0.497 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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