Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -1000 CARK +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +35 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -16.6 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -14.4 (+20.6) | 139.0 (+12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -15.0 (+20.0) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -17.8 (+17.2) | 142.7 (+8.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -15.9 (+19.1) | 140.9 (+10.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2021 | CARK 84 – 82 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#84) | -7.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#94) | -2.18 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#90) | -3.50 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#126) | 0.449 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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