Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -163 JAX +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -4.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -2.6 (-1.6) | 136.1 (+26.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -2.6 (-1.6) | 136.1 (+26.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -2.3 (-1.3) | 138.3 (+24.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.8 (-1.8) | 137.1 (+25.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | JAX 90 – 68 UNA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNA 78 – 63 JAX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNA 92 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 17, 2025 | JAX 64 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | JAX 67 – 63 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#273) | -8.0 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#255) | -1.31 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#246) | -1.62 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#300) | 0.419 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.