Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +175 FLA -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -5.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -3.0 (-5.0) | 151.5 (+24.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -2.5 (-5.5) | 149.5 (+26.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -3.3 (-4.7) | 150.7 (+25.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -3.2 (-4.8) | 150.6 (+25.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#97) | 13.8 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#96) | 1.77 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#105) | 2.60 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#106) | 0.600 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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