Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -125 JKST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -7.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.6 (-19.6) | 129.3 (+6.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.1 (-19.1) | 128.0 (+8.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.6 (-17.6) | 130.9 (+5.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.1 (-19.1) | 129.3 (+6.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 11-0 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#289) | -12.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#281) | -1.77 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#289) | -2.95 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#269) | 0.424 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 38.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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