Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +100 MCN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -10.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -9.6 (-12.6) | 155.6 (-10.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -8.2 (-11.2) | 154.1 (-9.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -8.2 (-11.2) | 157.4 (-12.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -8.8 (-11.8) | 158.4 (-13.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#322) | -19.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#332) | -5.46 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.33 (#333) | -8.11 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#319) | 0.251 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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