Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -350 DEP +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -10.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -10.4 (-17.4) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -8.6 (-15.6) | 139.3 (-10.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -10.9 (-17.9) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -10.6 (-17.6) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 5-14 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 2-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#68) | 0.2 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#57) | -1.11 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#56) | -0.96 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.379 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.