The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -1.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money EMU +120 / M-OH -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual M-OH +22 148 Lost
Massey M-OH -6.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 141.8 (+6.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -5.2 (-16.8) 143.7 (+4.3) 29% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -4.6 (-17.4) 138.9 (+9.1) 32% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -5.3 (-16.7) 144.0 (+4.0) 34% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -5.8 (-16.2) 144.8 (+3.2) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2026 M-OH 74 – 64 EMU
Mar 13, 2025 M-OH 81 – 75 EMU
Feb 18, 2025 EMU 76 – 66 M-OH
Jan 29, 2025 M-OH 89 – 80 EMU
Mar 2, 2024 M-OH 52 – 37 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU M-OH
Overall 6-12 12-11
Conference 3-11 9-8
Home 5-4 7-4
Away 1-8 5-6
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 72.0
Avg Pts Against 80.4 72.0
Massey -10.6 (#312) -1.8 (#196)
Bradley-Terry -1.79 (#302) -0.32 (#198)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.28 (#296) -0.41 (#193)
RPI 0.418 (#290) 0.466 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU M-OH
FG% 41.1% 43.1%
3PT% 26.4% 37.9%
REB / G 32.9 33.3
OREB / G 11.0 9.3
AST / TO 0.84 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 50.2%
TOV% 18.8% 15.9%
ORB% 29.5% 26.7%
FT Rate 19.5% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 61.7% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 19.8%
DRB% 68.3% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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