Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Miami (OH) RedHawks
81 – 75
FINAL Neutral Conference MAC
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Mid-American Conference · Rocket Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -5.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money M-OH -225 / EMU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +6 156 Won
Massey M-OH -7.3 (-1.3) — —
Massey Totals — 151.9 (+4.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -6.8 (-0.8) 147.3 (+8.7) 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -6.2 (-0.2) 146.1 (+9.9) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -6.9 (-0.9) 147.4 (+8.6) 77% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -6.6 (-0.6) 148.7 (+7.3) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2026 M-OH 74 – 64 EMU
Feb 18, 2025 EMU 76 – 66 M-OH
Jan 29, 2025 M-OH 89 – 80 EMU
Mar 2, 2024 M-OH 52 – 37 EMU
Jan 13, 2024 M-OH 71 – 54 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH EMU
Overall 25-9 16-16
Conference 14-4 9-9
Home 15-1 9-5
Away 6-7 6-10
Neutral 4-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.7 73.3
Avg Pts Against 73.3 77.1
Massey 0.0 (#159) -7.3 (#286)
Bradley-Terry 0.60 (#122) -0.53 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#139) -0.96 (#241)
RPI 0.545 (#86) 0.478 (#227)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH EMU
FG% 47.2% 45.9%
3PT% 37.7% 34.7%
REB / G 33.2 32.2
OREB / G 9.1 9.9
AST / TO 1.26 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 52.5%
TOV% 17.5% 19.0%
ORB% 27.5% 29.8%
FT Rate 20.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 17.7%
DRB% 70.9% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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