Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +165 M-OH -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -5.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -5.1 (+15.1) | 147.8 (-5.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -4.7 (+14.7) | 145.4 (-3.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -4.2 (+14.2) | 147.5 (-5.5) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -4.4 (+14.4) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | M-OH 74 – 64 EMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | M-OH 81 – 75 EMU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | M-OH 89 – 80 EMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | M-OH 52 – 37 EMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | M-OH 71 – 54 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#305) | -0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#229) | 0.82 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#259) | 0.67 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#242) | 0.541 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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