Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -450 EMU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -11.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -9.6 (-0.6) | 152.1 (+16.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -10.2 (-1.2) | 153.2 (+15.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -10.4 (-1.4) | 153.5 (+15.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -10.7 (-1.7) | 153.6 (+15.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | M-OH 74 – 64 EMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | M-OH 81 – 75 EMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | EMU 76 – 66 M-OH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | M-OH 52 – 37 EMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | M-OH 71 – 54 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | -8.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#114) | -0.34 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | -0.90 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#154) | 0.480 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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