Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · February 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -8.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money EMU +350 / M-OH -455
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual M-OH +10 138 Lost
Massey M-OH -9.1 (-0.9)
Massey Totals 155.5 (-17.5)
Bradley-Terry 1%
Weighted B-T 0%
Efficiency Plus ML M-OH -8.8 (-1.2) 151.9 (-13.9) 20%
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -8.2 (-1.8) 150.3 (-12.3) 22%
Baseline ML M-OH -7.0 (-3.0) 151.0 (-13.0) 23%
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -9.2 (-0.8) 150.5 (-12.5) 20%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2025 M-OH 8175 EMU
Feb 18, 2025 EMU 7666 M-OH
Jan 29, 2025 M-OH 8980 EMU
Mar 2, 2024 M-OH 5237 EMU
Jan 13, 2024 M-OH 7154 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU M-OH
Overall 10-21 32-2
Conference 4-14 18-0
Home 7-7 16-0
Away 3-14 14-0
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 86.3
Avg Pts Against 74.4 76.5
Massey -4.1 (#232) 7.9 (#82)
Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#254) 4.04 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#247) 4.96 (#7)
RPI 0.448 (#281) 0.601 (#32)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU M-OH
FG% 44.7% 51.5%
3PT% 33.3% 38.5%
REB / G 34.7 34.2
OREB / G 9.9 8.0
AST / TO 1.04 1.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 60.1%
TOV% 17.7% 14.9%
ORB% 28.4% 25.5%
FT Rate 21.2% 31.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 18.2%
DRB% 70.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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