Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +100 DETM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -1.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.2 (+3.8) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.4 (+4.6) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.1 (+5.1) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.4 (+3.6) | 153.8 (+13.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 12-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-6 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#291) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#248) | -1.78 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#245) | -1.69 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.389 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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