Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | APP +170 GAST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -3.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -0.1 (+12.9) | 146.0 (-11.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -0.6 (+13.6) | 148.0 (-13.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -0.2 (+13.2) | 147.6 (-12.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -0.5 (+13.5) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | APP 52 – 50 GAST |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GAST 70 – 63 APP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GAST 70 – 65 APP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | APP 80 – 76 GAST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | APP 81 – 71 GAST |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.