Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -500 TROY +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -14.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -11.7 (-6.7) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -11.1 (-6.1) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -11.9 (-6.9) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -11.8 (-6.8) | 138.7 (-3.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TROY 83 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | TROY 72 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TROY 95 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | CCU 73 – 63 TROY |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TROY 69 – 59 CCU |
Game Analysis
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