Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +210 SOU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -4.5 (+5.5) | 146.9 (-20.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -3.8 (+6.2) | 145.1 (-19.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -4.5 (+5.5) | 149.5 (-23.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -3.8 (+6.2) | 147.2 (-21.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 8-11 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Away | 1-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#229) | -5.3 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#52) | -0.38 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#58) | -0.75 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#102) | 0.454 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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