Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -1.5 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money QUIN -110 / NIA +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +9 147 Won
Massey NIA -0.2 (+9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 123.2 (+23.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 42% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 41% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NIA -0.3 (+9.3) 129.0 (+18.0) 46% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NIA -0.8 (+9.8) 133.0 (+14.0) 46% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NIA -1.3 (+10.3) 131.0 (+16.0) 47% ✗
Baseline ML NIA -0.2 (+9.2) 128.9 (+18.1) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 78 – 76 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 56 – 55 NIA
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 76 – 75 QUIN
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 80 – 66 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 9-13 9-11
Conference 7-10 7-9
Home 8-5 5-3
Away 1-5 3-7
Neutral 0-3 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 64.7
Avg Pts Against 69.0 65.2
Massey -6.8 (#275) -3.7 (#228)
Bradley-Terry -1.72 (#297) -0.89 (#241)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.08 (#288) -1.16 (#244)
RPI 0.397 (#309) 0.459 (#230)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 39.0% 39.6%
3PT% 28.0% 32.0%
REB / G 39.0 32.2
OREB / G 7.4 8.0
AST / TO 0.69 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 45.6%
TOV% 22.1% 15.6%
ORB% 20.1% 22.7%
FT Rate 26.1% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 40.5% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 20.2%
DRB% 71.5% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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