Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +650 HOU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +17 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -12.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -10.0 (-7.0) | 131.3 (-12.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -11.1 (-5.9) | 130.9 (-11.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -9.7 (-7.3) | 131.7 (-12.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -9.3 (-7.7) | 129.8 (-10.8) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | HOU 81 – 65 TEM |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TEM 56 – 55 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | HOU 84 – 46 TEM |
| Jan 2, 2022 | HOU 66 – 61 TEM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | HOU 76 – 50 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 14-3 |
| Home | 3-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-5 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | 18.7 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#76) | 3.97 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#67) | 6.09 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#63) | 0.681 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 16.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 42.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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