Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -16.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -11.2 (+6.2) | 135.2 (-8.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -13.1 (+8.1) | 132.2 (-5.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -11.9 (+6.9) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -10.9 (+5.9) | 133.7 (-6.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | HOU 81 – 65 TEM |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TEM 56 – 55 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | HOU 84 – 46 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2021 | HOU 68 – 51 TEM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | HOU 76 – 50 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 9-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 58.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | 21.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#123) | 2.58 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#135) | 3.93 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.622 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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