Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +400 HOU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -14.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -10.8 (-5.2) | 132.2 (+13.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -13.8 (-2.2) | 132.2 (+13.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -11.4 (-4.6) | 132.0 (+14.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -11.4 (-4.6) | 131.0 (+15.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | TEM 56 – 55 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | HOU 84 – 46 TEM |
| Jan 2, 2022 | HOU 66 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2021 | HOU 68 – 51 TEM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | HOU 76 – 50 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 57.5 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#115) | 21.3 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#110) | 3.36 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | 4.57 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#87) | 0.630 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 41.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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