Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +38 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -18.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -18.3 (+19.7) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -18.4 (+19.6) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -16.2 (+21.8) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -16.4 (+21.6) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | HOU 81 – 65 TEM |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TEM 56 – 55 HOU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | HOU 66 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2021 | HOU 68 – 51 TEM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | HOU 76 – 50 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#5) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#17) | 1.10 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#15) | 1.10 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#7) | 0.537 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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