Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -4000 TEM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -25.1 (-26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -19.9 (-20.9) | 133.8 (-22.8) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -17.6 (-18.6) | 130.1 (-19.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -17.8 (-18.8) | 134.5 (-23.5) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -20.2 (-21.2) | 135.1 (-24.1) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | HOU 81 – 65 TEM |
| Mar 4, 2022 | HOU 84 – 46 TEM |
| Jan 2, 2022 | HOU 66 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2021 | HOU 68 – 51 TEM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | HOU 76 – 50 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 11-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 23.4 (#1) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#1) | 0.32 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.05 (#2) | 0.49 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#4) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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