Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | HOU -2000 TEM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +26 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -17.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -16.8 (+9.2) | 136.2 (-10.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -13.3 (+12.7) | 136.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | HOU 81 – 65 TEM |
| Jan 22, 2023 | TEM 56 – 55 HOU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | HOU 84 – 46 TEM |
| Jan 2, 2022 | HOU 66 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 23, 2021 | HOU 68 – 51 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 5-11 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#12) | 2.6 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#6) | 0.84 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.97 (#5) | 1.26 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#11) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 50.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 42.3% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 40.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 38.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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