Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -400 KENN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -6.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -5.7 (-2.7) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -4.9 (-1.9) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -5.3 (-2.3) | 130.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -6.3 (-3.3) | 129.9 (+3.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNF 82 – 81 KENN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNF 84 – 75 KENN |
| Jan 14, 2023 | KENN 86 – 72 UNF |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNF 89 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UNF 74 – 72 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-15 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Home | 5-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#293) | -12.0 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#270) | -4.06 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#259) | -5.12 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#224) | 0.393 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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