Betting Lines
| Spread | HC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | HC +100 LEH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -6.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -5.9 (-8.9) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -5.5 (-8.5) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -6.0 (-9.0) | 147.0 (-0.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -6.5 (-9.5) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Game Analysis
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