Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -196 STET +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -3.2 (+1.8) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -3.1 (+1.9) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -3.8 (+1.2) | 136.6 (-7.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -3.2 (+1.8) | 138.5 (-9.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | BELL 92 – 71 STET |
| Feb 25, 2025 | STET 69 – 67 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STET 81 – 76 BELL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | STET 84 – 77 BELL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | STET 80 – 51 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-8 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -5.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#231) | -0.17 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#217) | -0.07 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#240) | 0.475 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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