Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -250 TOW +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.4 (+8.6) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.6 (+9.4) | 140.1 (-11.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.5 (+8.5) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.5 (+8.5) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-9 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#182) | -5.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#150) | -0.59 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#173) | -0.91 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#98) | 0.454 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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