Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -1400 LAS +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -15.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -12.6 (-18.6) | 144.5 (+17.5) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -10.7 (-16.7) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -12.5 (-18.5) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -12.8 (-18.8) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 6-11 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#56) | -3.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#48) | -0.30 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#47) | -0.53 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#31) | 0.469 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 12.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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