Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -300 TA&M +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +11 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -10.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -7.6 (+3.4) | 125.2 (-14.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -7.9 (+3.1) | 124.6 (-13.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -10.7 (+0.3) | 125.8 (-14.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -8.2 (+2.8) | 127.2 (-16.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#59) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#129) | 1.28 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#96) | 1.34 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#154) | 0.531 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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