Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +300 SDAK -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -9.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -10.0 (+5.0) | 142.4 (-17.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -8.4 (+3.4) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -9.5 (+4.5) | 145.1 (-20.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -9.9 (+4.9) | 142.6 (-17.6) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-4 |
| Home | 2-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#314) | 1.7 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#327) | -0.86 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#323) | -0.82 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#335) | 0.456 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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