Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU +180 FUR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -4.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -1.2 (+10.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -1.2 (+10.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -1.3 (+10.3) | 145.1 (-12.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -1.3 (+10.3) | 145.5 (-12.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#124) | 10.3 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#143) | 1.20 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#119) | 1.92 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#93) | 0.568 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.