Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -138 ARMY +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -3.4 (+3.6) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -2.6 (+4.4) | 135.2 (-4.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -2.7 (+4.3) | 139.3 (-8.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -2.7 (+4.3) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NAVY 81 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NAVY 84 – 56 ARMY |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAVY 61 – 54 ARMY |
| Jan 26, 2025 | NAVY 66 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 67 NAVY |
Game Analysis
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